South African 2016 Elections Update (Aug 5, 8.20am)
I repeatedly predicted that these elections would be the most important since apartheid. I’m glad to say that’s what they’re becoming.
The battle for Tshwane, Ekurhuleni and Johannesburg remains too close to call. The EFF may become the DA’s uncomfortable partner of convenience.
In Nelson Mandela Bay, the ANC has lost it’s majority to the DA. It’s likely, for the want of a few percent, the DA will form another coalition. Notably, the ANC has dropped its original request for a recount.
At least 12 municipalities can be won by the DA if they head into coalitions. In some places, the Vryheidsfront Plus (VF+) is likely to be an option. Will the once-bitten-twice-shy VF+ be able to extract better deals for themselves than before?
Nationally, the ANC still has the most votes but has belly-flopped to an all-time low of 54% (with 93% of the vote counted). Its upper echelon cannot deny the impact of cronyism on the health of the party. It’s arguable that our country has finally passed the political colour barrier in that the black middle class must be punishing the ANC for its hubris.
The EFF hasn’t done as well as expected, currently sitting at 7% of the national vote. The IFP has done better than expected, winning a few municipalities in KZN.
In Knysna (pop. 68 000), there’s been no explanation for the excessive delay in results. The rumoured outcome, for the PR seats, makes no sense.
There are bound to be more questions nationwide.
Today is bound to be another exciting day for South Africa. Let’s hope for change.